Skip to main content

Bitcoin: Awaiting Long Entry Below 9000ish


SMA100 forms the top resistance, which is with time growing and becoming a mammoth target.

SMA200 holds; median line of the set pitch form i.e. 0.5 also holds and aligns with SMA200.

In coming 20hrs, SMA200 support may get retested (@8860). MACD is still entering the buying zone.

Bearish continuation until a rebound above 8860. If breached, very likely, next test will be 6k previously called as provisional bottom.


A closeup view of the chart. Notice that we are still away from the subjective fib time zone prediction, which is about 4bars/16hr away for a swing or change in trend. Typically, this fib time zone extension has been helping to time the price swing in short-term trading. We shall discard this when it becomes unpredictable.


Comments

  1. While this entry is still on waiting, see my next post on timing a Bitcoin swing event.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Bitcoin (March 18-30): Integrated Gann Fan Analysis & Trades

https://invst.ly/6-gn0 In this chart you can clearly see how the time & price are related when the fall happens in early Gann angles (1/8 to 1/2) & then the price pulls back as a bear flag & then takes time until it reaches the Gann 1/1 (45deg angle). That severs as a resistance and the price moves along this line until it completes the correction cycle i.e. ABC. Then the price breaks out and results in a swing i.e. bull run since it is over 45 degrees & chances are greater that BTC will either move sideways or do a bull run. Based on this, I decided to go long.

Bitcoin: Eyeing a Reversal Confirmation

Bitcoin is on its way to confirm the reversal pattern. Here are the series of events that happened post the longest bearish trend (50-days long). June 23 was marked as swing zone based on Fibonacci Time Extension. The next day prints a Dragonfly Doji pattern,   which is traditionally a bullish sign. Attempted a panic sell situation but the price couldn't free-fall. Instead, BTC gradually dropped below 6K. Further drop could only put the CMF or volume higher resulting in a strong bullish divergence. This was also notable on the momentum indicators such as RSI. Note that we have not see so many bullish divergences of RSI in case of BTC. We have seen two major bearish divergences near psychological levels (20k, 10k). While the Awesome Oscillator shows twin peaks with some buyers strength. Here is another daily chart with other indicators. Note the swing zone 21 and the follow-up Doji. Conclusion: It is clear that the reversal pattern might b...

Bitcoin: The Golden Ratio

The price movement of BTC has several highs and lows. Timing the future is often unrealistic and many investors, who don't know math very well, stay away from a technical analysis. Often they totally ignore the power that such analysis may bring. Here is an example of BTC from Dec 2017 to March 2018. BTC is in fact following the golden ratio. If we would have known this before, we would be have been trading more effectively than we did in past. You can recreate such a map in your platform and then trace ahead the expected swings. I would advice to consider 5-10% error always due to news. As soon as this golden rule is broken like 15% error, you don't trade with this. While I am waiting for a breakout at 11.8, I thought to share this idea. Crypto Short